Asymptotic Theory of Statistical Inference for Time Series

1 Elements of Stochastic Processes.- 1.1 Introduction.- 1.2 Stochastic Processes.- 1.3 Limit Theorems.- Problems.- 2 Local Asymptotic Normality for Stochastic Processes.- 2.1 General Results for Local Asymptotic Normality.- 2.2 Local Asymptotic Normality for Linear Processes.- Problems.- 3 Asymptotic Theory of Estimation and Testing for Stochastic Processes.- 3.1 Asymptotic Theory of Estimation and Testing for Linear Processes.- 3.1.1 Asymptotic Theory Based on a Gaussian Likelihood.- 3.1.2 Asymptotic Theory of Estimation and Testing Based on LAN Results.- 3.2 Asymptotic Theory for Nonlinear Stochastic Models.- 3.2.1 Nonlinear Models.- 3.2.2 Probability Structure of Nonlinear Models.- 3.2.3 Statistical Testing and Estimation Theory for Nonlinear Models.- 3.2.4 Asymptotic Theory Based on the LAN Property.- 3.2.5 Model Selection Problems.- 3.2.6 Nonergodic Models.- 3.3 Asymptotic Theory for Continuous Time Processes.- 3.3.1 Stochastic Integrals and Diffusion Processes.- 3.3.2 Asymptotic Theory for Diffusion Processes.- 3.3.3 Diffusion Processes and Autoregressions with Roots.- Near Unity.- 3.3.4 Continuous Time ARMA Processes.- 3.3.5 Asymptotic Theory for Point Processes.- Problems.- 4 Higher Order Asymptotic Theory for Stochastic Processes.- 4.1 Introduction to Higher Order Asymptotic Theory.- 4.2 Valid Asymptotic Expansions.- 4.3 Higher Order Asymptotic Estimation Theory for Discrete Time Processes in View of Statistical Differential Geometry.- 4.4 Higher Order Asymptotic Theory for Continuous Time Processes.- 4.5 Higher Order Asymptotic Theory for Testing Problems.- 4.6 Higher Order Asymptotic Theory for Normalizing Transformations.- 4.7 Generalization of LeCam's Third Lemma and Higher Order Asymptotics of Iterative Methods.- Problems.- 5 Asymptotic Theory for Long-Memory Processes.- 5.1 Some Elements of Long-Memory Processes.- 5.2 Limit Theorems for Fundamental Statistics.- 5.3 Estimation and Testing Theory for Long-Memory Processes.- 5.4 Regression Models with Long-Memory Disturbances.- 5.5 Semiparametric Analysis and the LAN Approach.- Problems.- 6 Statistical Analysis Based on Functionals of Spectra.- 6.1 Estimation of Nonlinear Functionals of Spectra.- 6.2 Application to Parameter Estimation for Stationary Processes.- 6.3 Asymptotically Efficient Nonparametric Estimation of Functionals of Spectra in Gaussian Stationary Processes.- 6.4 Robustness in the Frequency Domain Approach.- 6.4.1 Robustness to Small Trends of Linear Functionals of a Periodogram.- 6.4.2 Peak-Insensitive Spectrum Estimation.- 6.5 Numerical Examples.- Problems.- 7 Discriminant Analysis for Stationary Time Series.- 7.1 Basic Formulation.- 7.2 Standard Methods for Gaussian Stationary Processes.- 7.2.1 Time Domain Methods.- 7.2.2 Frequency Domain Methods.- 7.2.3 Admissible Linear Procedure: Case of Unequal Mean Vectors and Covariance Matrices.- 7.3 Discriminant Analysis for Non-Gaussian Linear Processes.- 7.4 Nonparametric Approach for Discriminant Analysis.- 7.5 Parametric Approach for Discriminant Analysis.- 7.6 Derivation of Spectral Expressions to Divergence Measures Between Gaussian Stationary Processes.- 7.7 Miscellany.- Problems.- 8 Large Deviation Theory and Saddlepoint Approximation for Stochastic Processes.- 8.1 Large Deviation Theorem 538 8.2 Asymptotic Efficiency for Gaussian Stationary Processes:Large Deviation Approach.- 8.2.1 Asymptotic Theory of Neyman-Pearson Tests.- 8.2.2 Bahadur Efficiency of Estimator.- 8.2.3 Stochastic Comparison of Tests.- 8.3 Large Deviation Results for an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Process.- 8.4 Saddlepoint Approximations for Stochastic Processes.- Problems.- A.1 Mathematics.- A.2 Probability.- A.3 Statistics.