Without Warning: A Study in Asymmetric Threat Assessment

Introduction: Limits of the Noticed World and the End of Deterrence: Asymmetric War Threat PART ONE: CAUSES OF ASYMMETRIC THREAT ASSESSMENT: DIVERGENT LINEAGES IN WORLD POLITICS Global Reach Capabilities: Sea Power and Land Power Lineages Political Systems and Information Control: Force of Reason and Reason of Force The Economic Imperative: Global Lead Sectors, Innovation and Government Control PART TWO: OUTCOMES OF ASYMMETRIC THREAT ASSESSMENT: GLOBAL WARS AND CONFRONTATION The Mongol Bid for 'Universal Empire' Britain, France and the 'Great War' of 1792-1815 CIA and KGB: Separate Tracks to the 'New Cold War,' 1975-1985 Intelligence Estimates and the End of the Cold War Conclusion: Global Problems, Intelligence and Probability of Future Global War Notes