Future Studies and Counterfactual Analysis: Seeds of the Future

Chapter 1: Introduction. Chapter 2: True or False: The Problem Here is Identifying What is True and What is Not. Scenario 1: Market Madness Scenario 2: Bureaucratic Truth Scenario 3: The Courts of Supreme Wisdom Scenario 4: Enemy of the People Chapter 3: Proliferation: Doomsday or Politics? The Problem Here is Controlling Spread of Weapons of Mass Destruction. Scenario 1: A Mouse on the Road to Hell Scenario 2: The Decision Maker Scenario 3: In the Fruit Garden of Pakistan Scenario 4: The Story Behind Trump-Putin Day Scenario 5: Putting the Genie Back in the Bottle Chapter 4: The Bounds of Humanity: Will Malthus Ultimately Be Proven Correct? The Problem Here is that We Don't Know How to Limit Population Growth or if New Policies are Really Necessary. Can We Leave it to Chance?. Scenario 1: The China Syndrome Scenario 2: Super Saltpeter Scenario 3: Birth Certificates Scenario 4: Design Discord Chapter 5: The Beginning and Hereafter: Why do We Exist?. Scenario 1: Faust Scenario 2: A Creation Myth: Empiricism Scenario 3: It is all About Connections Chapter 6: Immortality: Where Does the Need to be Remember. Scenario 1: Legacy Scenario 2: Aunt Sadie Scenario 3: Rot in Peace Scenario 4: Living Healthy Forever Chapter 7: Religion: The Problem Here is that in Religion, as well as Other Institutions, We See Corruption, Immorality, Ethical Lapses, and Abuses. In its Entwinement with Government: Who Makes and Enforces Laws, Sets Education Standards, and Provides Security: the People, the King, or God?. Scenario 1: Moot Point Scenario 2: End of the Rainbow Scenario 3: Godspeak: Religion Tech Chapter 8: Decision Making: The Talent for Decisions. The Problem Here is that Most Decisions Turn out Badly. Scenario 1: First in My Decision Class Scenario 2: Inferences Scenario 3: Where is Morality Chapter 9: Dealing with Bio-terrorism: The Problem Here is that Terrorism can Adopt Biological Weapons as an Attack Mode: Harder to Detect, More Dangerous in its Outcome. Scenario 1: The Path to SIMAD Scenario 2: The First Motive Scenario 3: Reset Scenario 4: Trade Off Chapter 10: Our Computer Overlords: The Problems Here are the Contest Between Work and Leisure, How Much of Each, Who has Either and the Chances for AI Becoming our Masters. Scenario 1: Plug Me in Poppy Scenario 2: I am a Machine Scenario 3: Super Sari and Her Sisters Chapter 11: What Constitutes Progress? The Problem Here is Defining What Constitutes Progress and MEans for Attaining it Since Science, Technology, Politics, and Markets do not Necessarily Follow Paths tha tLead to Solutions of Pressing Problems or Attainment of Goals. Scenario 1: Shangri-La: Gross National Happiness Scenario 2: Chasing Highs Scenario 3: The Best of All Possible Worlds Scenario 4: Stasis is Good Chapter 12: Political Chaos: The Problem Here is What Politics Has Become. Civility is Almost Gone, Debate is Almost Non-existent, yet the Sides are Firm in Their Positions and Sure They are Right. Scenario 1: Electing? Scenario 2: Common Enemy Scenario 3: Strong Woman Chapter 13: The Perfect Human: Unlocking the Mysteries of Human Genetics and Developing the Technologies to Manipulate Heredity Will Give, for Better or Worse, a New Dimension to Our Ability to Set the Fate of Our Children. Scenario 1: Untitled Scenario 2: Can We Imagine Chapter 14: Conclusions. Appendix A Methodologies. Appendix B Authors' Biographies. Index.