Experts, Social Scientists, and Techniques of Prognosis in Cold War America
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- Artikel-Nr.: 10395467
Beschreibung
1. Introduction: A Culture of Insecurity and its Experts.
2. Experts, Think Tanks, and the Delicate Balance of Public Trust.
3. The Wisdom of the Group: RAND's First Experiments with Expert Prediction, 1947-1951.
4. Negotiating Rules for the Game: Political Games at RAND, 1954-1956.
5. The Oracle's Epistemology: Expert Opinions as Scientific Material.
6.The Boredom of the Crowd: The Long-Range Forecasting Delphi, 1963-1964.
7. Conclusion: The Strength of Epistemic Hopes.
2. Experts, Think Tanks, and the Delicate Balance of Public Trust.
3. The Wisdom of the Group: RAND's First Experiments with Expert Prediction, 1947-1951.
4. Negotiating Rules for the Game: Political Games at RAND, 1954-1956.
5. The Oracle's Epistemology: Expert Opinions as Scientific Material.
6.The Boredom of the Crowd: The Long-Range Forecasting Delphi, 1963-1964.
7. Conclusion: The Strength of Epistemic Hopes.
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